Welcome to the RAS Solution Forums HEC-RAS Help 100-Year 48 hour peak discharge is greater than the ½ PMF peak discharge?

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  • #7412
    Kinagoto
    Participant

    HEC-RAS Model,

    This is not strictly a HEC-RAS question. I am investigated a dam watershed (1.6 square mile) for 100-Year 24-hour and 100-Year 48-hour rainfall duration and ½ PMP Storms.

    While I am getting a peak discharge of the 100-Year 24 hour to be less than the ½ PMF peak discharge.

    The peak discharge for the 100-Year 48 hour is greater than the ½ PMF peak discharge. I cannot explain it. I expected the ½ PMF peak discharge to be always greater than the 100-Year rainfall event.

    Any of you have seen that before? Any explanation?

    Thanks,

    Kinagoto

    #12465
    mjohnsonPHDPE
    Participant

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    From: Michael Johnson
    To: “Kinagoto [via HEC-RAS Help]”
    Subject:
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    Kinagoto,

    2 points:

    1. You referred to the =931/2 PMP Storm.=94 Normally, the 1/2 PMF is obta=
    ined by applying the full PMP to the watershed and then multiplying the ord=
    inates of the PMF hydrograph by 0.5. This will always result in larger inf=
    low than obtained by multiplying the ordinates of the PMP hyetograph by 0.5=
    .

    2. For a 1.6 square mile watershed, the 6-hr local-storm PMF will always b=
    e more critical than the 24- or 72-hr general storm PMF.

    If I had to guess, it seems like you are probably applying the 1/2 24-hr ge=
    neral storm PMP to the watershed. Suggest calculating the 6-hr local storm=
    PMP, applying it to the watershed to obtain the local storm PMF, and then =
    multiplying the ordinates of the hydrograph by 0.5.

    The only remaining question is the 100-yr 48-hr being larger than the 24-hr=
    . Normally the 24-hr rainfall would be nested within the 48-hr distributio=
    n and in that case given the much shorter time of concentration for the wat=
    ershed – they should yield essentially the same peak runoff.

    Mike Johnson, PhD, PE

    Get Outlook for iOS<https://aka.ms/o0ukef>
    ________________________________
    From: Kinagoto [via HEC-RAS Help]
    Sent: Monday, August 26, 2019 5:27:02 AM
    To: Michael Johnson
    Subject: 100-Year 48 hour peak discharge is greater than the =BD PMF peak d=
    ischarge?

    HEC-RAS Model,

    This is not strictly a HEC-RAS question. I am investigated a dam watershed =
    (1.6 square mile) for 100-Year 24-hour and 100-Year 48-hour rainfall durati=
    on and =BD PMP Storms.

    While I am getting a peak discharge of the 100-Year 24 hour to be less tha=
    n the =BD PMF peak discharge.

    The peak discharge for the 100-Year 48 hour is greater than the =BD PMF pe=
    ak discharge. I cannot explain it. I expected the =BD PMF peak discharge to=
    be always greater than the 100-Year rainfall event.

    Any of you have seen that before? Any explanation?

    Thanks,

    Kinagoto

    ________________________________
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    Kinagoto,
    2 points:
    1.  You referred to the =931/2 PMP Stor=
    m.=94  Normally, the 1/2 PMF is obtained by applying the full PMP to t=
    he watershed and then multiplying the ordinates of the PMF hydrograph by 0.=
    5.  This will always result in larger inflow than
    obtained by multiplying the ordinates of the PMP hyetograph by 0.5.
    2.  For a 1.6 square mile watershed, th=
    e 6-hr local-storm PMF will always be more critical than the 24- or 72-hr g=
    eneral storm PMF.
    If I had to guess, it seems like you are pro=
    bably applying the 1/2 24-hr general storm PMP to the watershed.  Sugg=
    est calculating the 6-hr local storm PMP, applying it to the watershed to o=
    btain the local storm PMF, and then multiplying
    the ordinates of the hydrograph by 0.5.
    The only remaining question is the 100-yr 48=
    -hr being larger than the 24-hr.  Normally the 24-hr rainfall would be=
    nested within the 48-hr distribution and in that case given the much short=
    er time of concentration for the watershed
    – they should yield essentially the same peak runoff.
    Mike Johnson, PhD, PE

    From: Kinagoto [via HEC-RAS=
    Help] <ml+[email protected]>
    Sent: Monday, August 26, 2019 5:27:02 AM
    To: Michael Johnson <[email protected]>
    Subject: 100-Year 48 hour peak discharge is greater than the =BD PMF=
    peak discharge?

     
    HEC-RAS Model,

    This is not strictly a HEC-RAS question. I am investigated a dam watershed =
    (1.6 square mile) for 100-Year 24-hour and 100-Year 48-hour rainfall durati=
    on and =BD PMP Storms.

    While I am getting a peak discharge  of the 100-Year 24 hour to be les=
    s than the =BD PMF peak discharge.

    The peak discharge  for the 100-Year 48 hour is greater than the =BD P=
    MF peak discharge. I cannot explain it. I expected the =BD PMF peak dischar=
    ge to be always greater than the 100-Year  rainfall event.

    Any of you have seen that before? Any explanation?

    Thanks,

    Kinagoto



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    Anonymous
    Guest

    Mike,

    Thank you very much for your comments.

    Here is more information on my model.

    – 100-Year 24 Hour Rainfall (inches) = 8.3
    – 100-Year 48 Hour Rainfall (inches) = 9.7
    – PMP 24 Hour Storm (inches) = 33.1
    – PMP 48 Hour Storm (inches) = 36.5
    – PMP 72 Hour Storm (inches) = 38.3

    Following are the options used to determine the ½ PMF from the full PMF:

    – Ratio Method : Discharge
    – Apply to Subbasins : Yes
    – Apply to Source : No
    – Ratio : 0.5

    Here are the summary results:

    Peak Peak Peak Peak Water Depth * Freeboard
    Inflow Discharge Storage Elevation Above Top of Dam
    Flashboard
    (cfs) (cfs) (Ac-Ft) (Feet) (Feet) (Feet)
    Flood Event Description
    24-Hour Rainfall Event:
    100-Year 1883.1 1565.2 52.8 120.6 4.6 -1.1
    1/2 PMF 1987.9 1986.1 60.3 121 5 -1.5
    PMF 3992.7 3988.4 99.4 122.6 6.6 -3.1

    48-Hour Rainfal Event:
    100-Year 2135.8 1820.3 57.4 120.8 4.8 -1.3
    1/2 PMF 1992.1 1989.5 60.3 121 5 -1.5
    PMF 4001.5 3995.3 99.5 122.6 6.6 -3.1

    72-Hour Rainfall Event:
    1/2 PMF 1993.8 1991.2 60.4 121 5 -1.5
    PMF 4004.6 3998.8 99.6 122.6 6.6 -3.1

    * Negative freeboard values indicate depth of overtopping.

    Thanks,

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